The market moved
+25.5ppin 24h · now 65¢
Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score
Sports · resolves Aug 1 · vol $27.76
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 65¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 25.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 40.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.