The market moved
-45.8ppin 24h · now 2¢
Exact Score: CF Villarreal C 3 - 3 Levante UD?
Other · resolves Aug 5 · vol $112.18
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 45.8pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 6.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.