The market moved

+3.5ppin 24h · now 88¢

Call of Duty: Gentle Mates vs OMiT (BO5) - Esports World Cup Group A

Sports · resolves Aug 5 · vol $97.92

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 88¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 18.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.