The market moved

+3.5ppin 24h · now 92¢

SK Dinamo Tbilisi vs. US Mondorf-les-Bains: SK Dinamo Tbilisi O/U 0.5

Sports · resolves Jul 16 · vol $496.65

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 92¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 6.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.