The market moved
+26.0ppin 24h · now 92¢
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 0.5
Sports · resolves Jul 9 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 92¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 26.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 46.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.