The market moved

+4.0ppin 24h · now 64¢

Górnik Zabrze vs. AS Monaco FC: Górnik Zabrze O/U 0.5

Sports · resolves Aug 20 · vol $227.74

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 64¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 3.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.