The market moved

+1.0ppin 24h · now 21¢

FK Liepāja vs. FK Dečić Tuzi: O/U 3.5

Sports · resolves Jul 9 · vol $72.38

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 21¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 5.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.