The market moved

+25.6ppin 24h · now 100¢

German Super League Hamburg T10: VfB Oldenburg vs United XI Jagerhof

Other · resolves Aug 5 · vol $191.18

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 25.6pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics — https://www.espncricinfo.com/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.