The market moved
-2.5ppin 24h · now 51¢
Will England win?
Sports · resolves Jun 11 · vol $10.79
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 51¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics — https://www.espncricinfo.com/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.