The market moved

-37.5ppin 24h · now 13¢

Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5)

Sports · resolves Jun 19 · vol $37.79

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 13¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 37.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 6.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.