The market moved

-2.5ppin 24h · now 33¢

Counter-Strike: Alzon vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Playoffs

Sports · resolves Jul 2 · vol $112.13

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 33¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 7.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.