The market moved

-5.5ppin 24h · now 79¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group A

Sports · resolves Jul 22 · vol $42.0K

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 79¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 8.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.