The market moved

+25.0ppin 24h · now 69¢

Map Handicap: BCG (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5)

Sports · resolves Aug 7 · vol $951.35

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 69¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 25.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 8.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.