The market moved

+34.5ppin 24h · now 87¢

Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage

Sports · resolves Jul 28 · vol $4.5K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 87¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 34.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 3.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.