The market moved
-12.0ppin 24h · now 38¢
Map Handicap: CC.FE (-1.5) vs MIBR fe (+1.5)
Sports · resolves Jun 26 · vol $393.96
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 38¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 6.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.