The market moved

-8.0ppin 24h · now 42¢

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Sports · resolves May 14 · vol $124.07

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 42¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 17.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-8.0pp · Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Orrery