The market moved

+49.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

Map Handicap: CSH.P (-1.5) vs Lavked (+1.5)

Sports · resolves Jul 28 · vol $216.61

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 49.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 2.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.