The market moved

-15.0ppin 24h · now 15¢

Map Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)

Sports · resolves Jul 14 · vol $1.2K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 15¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 15.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 9.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.