The market moved

-10.0ppin 24h · now 48¢

Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Low Cortisol (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A

Sports · resolves Aug 19 · vol $918.27

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 48¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 15.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.