The market moved

+1.5ppin 24h · now 45¢

Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage

Sports · resolves Jun 16 · vol $17.9K

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 45¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 7.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.