The market moved

-1.0ppin 24h · now 86¢

Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MAGICOS - Map 2 Winner

Sports · resolves Jul 25 · vol $120.12

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 86¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 16.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.