The market moved

-15.5ppin 24h · now 35¢

Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Guara Esports - Map 2 Winner

Sports · resolves May 16 · vol $134.17

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 35¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 15.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 5.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.