The market moved

+22.5ppin 24h · now 49¢

Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs Wampirki (+1.5)

Sports · resolves Jun 27 · vol $195.92

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 49¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 22.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 31.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.