The market moved
+31.4ppin 24h · now 100¢
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs
Sports · resolves May 13 · vol $38.8K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 31.4pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
- Market resolves in 0.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.