The market moved

-36.5ppin 24h · now 14¢

Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner

Sports · resolves Jul 22 · vol $152.4K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 14¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 36.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 3.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.