The market moved

-4.5ppin 24h · now 52¢

Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 Winner

Sports · resolves Jul 24 · vol $171.36

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 52¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 4.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.