The market moved
-8.5ppin 24h · now 52¢
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players - Map 1 Winner
Sports · resolves Jul 30 · vol $107.03
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 52¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 4.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.