The market moved
-12.5ppin 24h · now 74¢
Counter-Strike: TDK vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D
Sports · resolves Jul 28 · vol $23.1K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 74¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 4.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.