The market moved

-6.5ppin 24h · now 65¢

Counter-Strike: Ursa vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner

Sports · resolves Jun 8 · vol $15.00

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 65¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 11.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.