The market moved

-2.0ppin 24h · now 77¢

Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

Sports · resolves Jul 15 · vol $1.9K

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 77¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 17.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.