The market moved

-3.5ppin 24h · now

Will Danilo Santos be in Brazil's Starting 11?

Sports · resolves Jun 14 · vol $105.16

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on fifa.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: fifa.com — https://www.fifa.com/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 8.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.