Debate Bingo - Card 1

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 30.4pp shift. Resolution depends on the resolution of the polymarket events associated with each square on the bingo card — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the resolution of the Polymarket events associated with each square on the bingo card — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kamala-Trump-Debate-Bingo-1.png.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.