The market moved
+2.5ppin 24h · now 95¢
Will Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?
Macro · resolves Jun 2 · vol $215.01
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 95¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the gaap eps figure reported by seekingalpha — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 23.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.