The market moved

-18.0ppin 24h · now 57¢

Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 1?

Macro · resolves Jun 1 · vol $4.3K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 57¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 18.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wall street journal — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 0.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.