The market moved

+5.5ppin 24h · now 47¢

Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?

Other · resolves Dec 18 · vol $111.65

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 47¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+5.5pp · Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? | Orrery