The market moved
-24.7ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
Politics · resolves Aug 18 · vol $51.02
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 24.7pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.