The market moved
+9.0ppin 24h · now 28¢
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Politics · resolves Aug 25 · vol $1.1K
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 28¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 9.0pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.