The market moved
-2.8ppin 24h · now 6¢
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
Politics · resolves Jul 24 · vol $76.30
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 6¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.8pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.