The market moved
-24.5ppin 24h · now 20¢
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Politics · resolves Jul 3 · vol $186.16
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 20¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 24.5pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.