The market moved
+2.5ppin 24h · now 31¢
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Politics · resolves Jun 12 · vol $6.16
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 31¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.