The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 16¢
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Politics · resolves May 19 · vol $369.07
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 16¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.