The market moved
-9.5ppin 24h · now 18¢
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Politics · resolves May 22 · vol $80.86
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 18¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.5pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
