The market moved
-3.5ppin 24h · now 12¢
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Politics · resolves May 26 · vol $85.14
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 12¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.