The market moved

+2.9ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Politics · resolves Jun 5 · vol $18.0K

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.9pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.