The market moved
+72.4ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Politics · resolves May 15 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 72.4pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.