The market moved
+1.5ppin 24h · now 87¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Sports · resolves Aug 13 · vol $639.68
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 87¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.dotabuff.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 46.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.