The market moved

-14.5ppin 24h · now 53¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Sports · resolves May 21 · vol $216.8K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 53¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 14.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.dotabuff.com.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 4.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.