The market moved

-2.0ppin 24h · now 61¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Sports · resolves Jun 26 · vol $10.1K

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 61¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.dotabuff.com.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 17.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.