The market moved
-12.5ppin 24h · now 39¢
Dota 2: NS Team vs Travoman Team - Game 2 Winner
Sports · resolves Jul 28 · vol $54.35
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 39¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.dotabuff.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 4.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.