The market moved

+4.5ppin 24h · now 59¢

Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner

Sports · resolves Jun 18 · vol $5.6K

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 59¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.dotabuff.com.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 4.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.